Questions tagged [stochastic-processes]

A stochastic process describes the evolution of random variables/systems over time and/or space and/or any other index set. It has applications in areas such as econometrics, weather, signal processing, etc. Examples: Gaussian process, Markov process, etc.

A stochastic process is a collection of random variables ${\bf X} = \{ X_t : t \in T \}$ defined on a common probability space, taking values in a common set $S$ (state space), and indexed by set $T$, often either $\mathbb{N}$ or $[0, \infty)$, and thought of as time (either continuous or discrete). (Reference: Random Services)

Common examples of stochastic processes are:

  • Random Walks
    • Simple random walk: defined on the integers in discrete time, and is based on a Bernoulli process, where each $iid$ Bernoulli variable takes either the value $+1$ or $-1$.
  • Bernoulli Process
    • A sequence of $iid$ Bernoulli random variables, where each event is a Bernoulli trial.
  • Wiener Process
    • Stochastic process with stationary and independent increments whose size is normally distributed.
  • Poisson Process
    • Defined as a counting process, which is a process that represents the random number of points or events up to some time.
    • The number of points of the process that are located in the interval from zero to some (given, non-random) time is a Poisson random variable.
  • Markov Chains (both continuous and discrete time)
    • The behavior of the process in the future is stochastically independent of its behavior in the past, given the current state of the process.
  • Martingales
    • A discrete-time or continuous-time stochastic processes with the property that the expectation of the next value of a martingale is equal to the current value given all the previous values of the process.

(Reference: Wikipedia)

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What are the examples for stochastic processes in Electrical Engineering and Computer Science?

I wanted to find out what kind of different usages of stochastic processes theory in EE & CS are out there. For example, I find these kinds of usages interesting: using stochastic signal as carrier that is modulated by the information signal for…
user1429
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Modeling a birth-death process that is not memoryless

How does one approach the problem of modeling a "birth-death process" where the arrivals are dependent on the current state in the following way: if the population is above a certain point, the probability of an arrival decreases. Basically, I'm…
ariddell
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Properties of the white noise process

The stochastic process $\{u_t\}$ is a white noise process if and only if $Eu_t=0$ for all integers $t$; and $E(u_t u_{t+k})=\sigma^2\textbf{1}\{k=0\}$ for all integers $t$ and $k$, where $\sigma>0$ and $\textbf{1}\{k=0\}$ is equal to $1$ if and…
Elias
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General definition of stochastic processes

I'm trying to understand the basic concept of random processes.I already understood that a continuous-time random process is defined by X(¥,t) where ¥ is each element in the Sample Space and t is the time index. By this definition, we can see the…
gutto
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Modeling a 1D random walk with nonconstant probabilities

I have (what I will term, for lack of a better word) a random walk that has a particular property: it tends to be right of the origin some fraction k of the time and left 1-k of the time (and on the origin a negligible fraction). So although the…
Charles
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Why is Geometric Brownian motion not a Lévy process?

I'm trying to price an option. The old-style (e.g. Black Scholes 1973) pricing models use the GBM to model the underlying asset, which suffers of some deficiencies wrt volatility smiles and term structures. This is why Heston came up with his…
Puzzle
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Meaning of the "existence" proof

After doing some reading on stochastic processes for work I've found that a proof that the specific process exists is often one of the first things presented. Could someone please explain, in layman's terms, the purpose/necessity of this proof?
Nick
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Random Investment

$\DeclareMathOperator{\E}{\mathrm{E}}$ An investor has $\$100,000$. When the current interest rate is $i$% (compounded continously so that the growth per year is $e^{i/100}$) she invests her money in an $i$ year CD, takes the profits, and then…
Moderat
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What does $E_yT_y$ mean?

I am confused about the notation in my Stochastic Processes class, and I can't find a place in the textbook that explicitly defines this notation. He uses $E$ to mean simple expectation i.e. for tail sum formula for expectation it is written $$EX =…
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Poisson Distribution with Evolving Lambda Parameters?

Consecutive differences in Poisson arrivals have an Exponential Distribution. In modelling this kind of data, I have usually seen the arrival rate (lambda) held as constant. Sometimes I have seen Non-Homogeneous approach where arrival lambda can…
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Renewal processes, interarrival time distributions

I am dealing with renewal processes recently and I have some questions and I hope you can help me :). Why interarrival time distributions need to be independent in a renewal process?
jpcgandre
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Mixing average and the Renewal Reward Theorem

I tried to solve the following problem: Buses arrive to an archeological site according to the discrete renewal process with i.i.d inter-arrival times T1, T2, T3, ... which are distributed Geo(p). Assume k−th bus carries a random number Nk of…
lnros
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Deriving expression for expected offspring in branching process

I am looking at branching processes in Dobrow 2016 (p. 160), where the author states that the "mean of the offspring distribution" is $\mu =\sum_{k=0}^{\infty} k a_k$. I want to know why the following equation holds: $$\sum_{k=0}^{\infty}…
mavavilj
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Stochastic Processes Definition and Uniqueness

I'm reading Baxter's "Introduction to Financial Calculus" and he defines a stochastic process as a continuous process $X_t $ that can be written as $X_t = X_0 + \int_0^t \sigma_s dW_s + \int_0^t \mu_s ds $, where $\sigma, \mu $ are are visible…
user11128
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How to connect stochastic volatility in SDEs with its empirical version?

The standard definition of stochastic volatility model is: $dS_t = \mu S_tdt + \sqrt{v_t}S_tdW_t$ $dv_t = \alpha_{v,t}dt + \beta_{v,t}dB_t$ $\langle d W_t, d B_t \rangle = \rho$ (From wikipedia:…
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