Questions tagged [instrumental-variables]

Instrumental variables (IV) are used for causal inference with observational data in the presence of endogeneity when standard regression methods yield biased and inconsistent estimates.

Instrumental variables (IV) are used for causal inference with observational data in the presence of endogeneity (e.g. due to omitted variables or reverse causality) when standard regression methods would yield biased and inconsistent estimates. It is possible to consistently estimate the parameter of interest if there exists a variable $z$ (called an "instrument") which is highly correlated with the endogeneous variable $x$ but uncorrelated with the error term $u$ and which affects the outcome $y$ only through $x$: $$\begin{matrix} z & \rightarrow & x & \rightarrow & y \newline & & \uparrow & \nearrow & \newline & & u & \end{matrix}$$ Instrumental variables models like the standard IV estimator or 2-stage least squares utilize the exogenous variation in $z$ to separate the effect of $x$ on $y$ from the unwanted influence due the correlation between $x$ and $u$. The difficulty in applied work is to find good instruments. Weak correlation between $z$ and $x$ leads to inconsistent estimation as do even small correlations between $z$ and $u$. Natural experiments or randomized trials are the usual sources for good instruments.
For an overview and a list of examples see Angrist and Krueger (2001).

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Is the key assumption for instrumental variables not testable?

The key assumption: the IV is independent of the response varible Y, cannot be tested empirically and can be argued only theoretically. Is this true? Why? And why is this a problem when we use multiple instrumental variables (e.g. genetic variants)?
Bram
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Optimal weighting matrix instrumental variables estimator

The formula for the optimal weighting matrix when you perform regression with more instrumental variables than endogenous predictors is the following: $W_{opt} = (\frac{1}{N}Z'Z)^{-1} $ This tells us that we only have to look at the variance…
Kasper
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When using multiple continuous instruments do I get a weighted Local Average Treatment Effect?

I have the following model: $y_i = \alpha + \beta d_i + g(x_i)+e_i$ Since I have reason to believe that $d_i$ is endogenous, I am using 3 plausibly exogenous variables ($z_1,z_2,z_3$) to instrument it. Both $d_i$ and my instruments are continuous…
FightMilk
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Instrument caused by dependent variable

Suppose that my instrument z is sufficiently correlated with the endogenous independent variable x in consideration (z->x). Now, I know that my dependent variable y is also a predictor of z (y->z) but reverse causality does not hold. Would this make…
CodeTrek
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Great examples of instrumental variable estimators

This is a great example of the instrumental variable estimator: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NLgB2WGGKUw In our course however they stay really vague about examples, and to be honest, we really doubt it's use (certainly after reading some Taleb…
Kasper
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Testing for weak instrument: include intercept in regression of instrument?

When you want to use the IV (instrumental variable) estimator, you typically first test if you have a strong instrument. You do so by regressing the (endogenous) predictor against the instrument. With the regression coefficient, you can calculate…
Kasper
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Construction of instrumental variables

Consider the linear regression model $$ Y_i=X_i^\top \beta+U_i. $$ Suppose some regressors are not orthogonal to $U_i$, i.e., $E(X_i U_i)\neq 0$. Then, the OLS estimator is not consistent (Hayashi, chapter 2). The usual way to proceed consists of…
Star
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Correlation between the dependent variable and the instrument

In the case of a single endogenous variable and a single instrumental variable, the IV estimator is given by $b_{IV} = \frac{cov(z,y)}{cov(z,x)}$ It is often mentioned that "the instrument should not affect the dependent variable directly, but only…
Snoopy
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Control Functions: First stage residual has (close to) same magnitude and significance and opposite sign as endogenous variable

I am implementing a standard control function regression. I start with the equations: $y_1 = \alpha \; y_2 + X \beta + \varepsilon$ $y_2 = \gamma z + X \beta + \nu$ $y_2$ is endogenous in the first equation, $X$ contains exogenous predictors, and…
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Continuous Instrumental Variable?

In the classical Instrumental Variable model: $Y = \beta X + U \, $ an instrumental, binary variable ($Z$) is used to correct for confoundness between $Y$ and $U$ and must satisfy independence wrt the error term ($cov(Z,U$) = 0) while being…
oDDsKooL
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Is this one way of estimating the size of compliers in instrumental variables analysis?

I have a continuous instrument that is strongly associated with the exposure. I have also confirmed statistically that my selected instrument is strong and relevant. My concern is with compliers. I understand that under the monotonicity…
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Where do I put the control variables in 2SLS?

When I am running a 2 stage least squares, where do I put the control variables? Should I put the control variables in the first stage? The second stage? Both? Can someone explain why?
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IV - choosing among valid instruments

I am using an instrument variable approach where I have access to several valid (but many times weak instruments) to instrument for a singe endogenous variable. My question is how to think about which instruments to use, is there any good links to…
charlie
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Derivation of IV estimator using Linear Algebra

Im aware of the question Derivation of IV estimator? on this site. Im interested however in obtaining the way we derive it using linear algebra. $$\beta^{IV}=(Z'X)^{-1}Z'Y$$ the reason why I ask is to obtain a clearer picture of how exactly we get…
EconJohn
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Instrument variables with heterogeneous(opposite) first stage

Suppose I am trying to estimate the effect of R&D investment $x_i$ on patents per worker $y_i$ for firms $i$. Suppose I use as an instrument a R&D subsidy lottery ($z_i = 1$ if won). Winning the lottery grants an R&D subsidy chosen uniformly at…
Hamza
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