Questions tagged [multinomial-distribution]

A multivariate, discrete probability distribution used to describe the results of a random experiment where each of $n$ outcomes are placed into one of $k$ nominal categories.

Overview

The multinomial distribution is a discrete probability distribution used to describe the results of a random experiment where each of $n$ outcomes are placed into one of $k$ nominal categories. It can be thought of as the generalization of the binomial distribution. The binomial distribution is a special case of the multinomial distribution where there are only $k=2$ categories.

The probability mass function (pmf) of the distribution is parametrized by $p_i$, the probabilities of $x_i$ ($i=1,2,\ldots k$) outcomes being placed in the $i^\text{th}$ category. The pmf $P(x_i,n;p_i)$ has the following form:

$$ \left\{ \begin{array}{l l} \frac{n!}{x_1!x_2!\ldots x_n!} p_1^{x_1} p_2^{x_2} \ldots p_n^{x_n} & \quad \text{if $\sum_{n=1}^k x_i =n$ }\\ ~ \\ ~ \\ 0 & \quad \text{otherwise} \end{array} \right. $$

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Interpreting exp(B) in multinomial logistic regression

This is somewhat of a beginner's question, but how does one interpret an exp(B) result of 6.012 in a multinomial logistic regression model? 1) is it 6.012-1.0 = 5.012 = 5012% increase in risk? or 2) 6.012/(1+6.012) = 0.857 = 85.7% increase in…
user6911
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Multinomial logit with different sample sizes in three groups

I have 3 groups in my dependent variable. The sample sizes on the 3 are very different. I have about 10000 in the first group, 35000 in the second and 100,000 in the third. My question is: Should we sample down group 2 and 3 before modeling? Paul…
user16789
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Probability the most likely category is most frequent?

I have a multinominal random number with probabilities $p_1, p_2, \ldots p_n$ for the $n$ outcomes. If I generate $M$ of these random numbers and count the occurrences of the categories, what is the probability that the category with the largest…
Gere
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Find the Fisher information matrix for the MLE of a Multinomial

Please help me how to find the Fisher information matrix for the MLE of a Multinomial ... It is said that considering $n$ and $p$ constraints in multinomial distribution. In other words, when $p$ has $k$-dimension, real parameter number is $k-1$.
dunk
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Multinomial logistic regression with "constant variable"

I am encountering some problems with setting up a multinomial logistics regression (stepwise). My data/model is the following: Dependent variable: strategy1/strategy2/no preference "Indenpendent" variable: risk perception value (prob*impact…
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Premium bonds prize probabilities

The UK have an initiative called Premium Bonds. You can buy a £1 bond, and each month there is a 1 in 24,000 chance of winning a cash prize from that bond. The number of prizes given per month for each amount, for all bonds that have been bought, is…
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"Cumulative distribution" of a collection of random variables with different distributions

I am working with an application where I have a grid of cells, and I calculate "concentrations" in each cell by randomly placing a number of "particles" across the grid, and counting the number of particles in each cell. I am then interested in…
Tor
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discrete distribution sampling error

Let's say all people on earth can be divided in five categories depending on their favorite fruit or vegetable (so discrete probability distribution) and we know the true distribution. For example 2% like apples the most, 30% like bananas the most,…
Marcin
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transform multinomial variable to continous for testing

Following Glenn comments im editing my question and posting an example: I want to know if my procedure here is valid. We tested the relationship between ecomorph and escape behavior across ten species using Phylogenetic Generalized Least Squares.…
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Multidimensional Extension of the Wilson Score Method

Some researchers say that they compared their method with "The natural multidimensional extension of the Wilson score method". Chafai, D. and Concordet, D., 2009. Confidence regions for the multinomial parameter with small sample size. Journal of…
R. Cox
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posterior variance after observing different signals for different times

I am reading a paper in which following problem is posed : a k dimension multinormal vector $\theta$ and $n$ numbers of signals. Each of the signals (e.g. signal $k$) is given by $C_k'\theta + \epsilon_k$ - that is, each signal is some linear…
Sdeng
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multinomial log likelihood: rounding error or estimation error?

My understanding of the multinomial likelihood, with four states, ${A}$, ${B}$, ${C}$ and ${D}$ is that it can be expressed as: $Likelihood = \frac{N!} {nA! nB! nC! nD!} P(A)^{nA} P(B)^{nB} P(C)^{nC} P(D)^{nD}. $ where ${N}$ = number of…
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Reason for Correctly Classified Percentage of Multinomial less than 70%

Does anyone of you know why is the correctly classified percentage of multinomial less than 70%? The minimum requirement to be a good model is 70% but my result show less than this. Anyone know the reasons?