Questions tagged [bias]

The difference between the expected value of a parameter estimator & the true value of the parameter. Do NOT use this tag to refer to the [bias-term] / [bias-node] (ie the [intercept]).

Bias, in a statistical framework, means that an estimate of a parameter has an expected value that is not equal to the actual parameter value. The bias of an estimator can be evaluated with the mean squared error: $$MSE(\widehat{\theta}) = E[(\widehat{\theta} - \theta)^2]$$ which can be decomposed into the sum of the squared bias and the variance of an estimator.

One common example of using a biased estimator is ridge regression; ridge regression can be useful when there is collinearity. The estimators are biased (unlike OLS estimates) but have much lower variance.

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What are the most common biases humans make when collecting or interpreting data?

I am an econ/stat major. I am aware that economists have tried to modify their assumptions about human behavior and rationality by identifying situations in which people don't behave rationally. For example, suppose I offer you a 100% chance of a…
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A job interview question on flipping a coin

I was asked the following question during a job interview: A coin is flipped 1000 times and 560 times heads show up. Do you think the coin is biased? What would be your answer? (I find the question "Quantifying 'survey bias' in reports" related…
VividD
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A case of survivorship bias?

With the recent FIFA world cup, I decided to have some fun and determine which months produced world cup football players. Turned out, most footballers in the 2010 world cup were born in the first half of the year. Someone pointed out, that children…
Preets
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What causes exponential distribution to have biased and non-biased ML-estimator?

What causes exponential distribution to have biased and non-biased ML-estimator? $f(x;\theta)=\theta \exp(-\theta x)$ has biased estimator. $f(x;\theta)=\frac{1}{\beta} \exp(-x/\beta)$ has unbiased estimator. But what causes this?
mavavilj
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Does BIAS equal to MEAN ERROR

Bias is defined as an average of all errors (without abs) and this is, IMO, what I want. However, I have been asked to give MEAN ERROR. Is this the same than bias and is it wrong to call bias as mean error? Just in case I’m messing these definitions…
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Coin toss strategy

If we a sequence of 5 heads or 5 tails was unlikely, and given a strategy to wait for a sequence of 4 (e.g., 4H), and then bet on the opposite outcome on the 5th flip (e.g., T), is this a flawed strategy and why?
user181372
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Reverse Survivorship Bias

Goal: I have car accident data with geo-positions and would like to create a model to predict hotspots due to specific influence factors or features. Problem: To validate the results I want to create a test-set but since I only have accidents and no…
Andreas
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Detect coin bias from observation

Is there a way to determine whether a coin is biased, using probability/statistics method, say the following two questions: if observe 8 heads in 10 flips, is the coin biased? Or if observed 3 sequences of 5 flips. At least one sequence was all…
william007
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What is bias in aerosol data?

I was reading this information related to aerosol, especially aerosol optical depth of the MISR and MODIS instruments. I didn't actually get what bias means in the context of the AOT retrievals of these instruments.
user34790
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Selection Bias - Taking a subset of a larger database

I have a question on selection bias, mainly in terms of sampling from a larger dataset. Suppose you have a database, and there are some data quality issues that prevent you from using the whole database for inference. In particular, you must 'fuzzy…
user113574
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Precise definition of a 'biased sample'?

Is there a precise definition of what a biased sample is? Or is it just a somewhat loose notion used in everyday parlance, but which does not have a precise mathematical definition?
user46481
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Which is a more serious problem in regression, regression dilution or bias?

Which is a more serious problem in regression, regression dilution or bias? Regression dilution usually causes underestimation, and bias (especially selection bias)usually causes overestimation. Which problem is more severe? In practice, which case…
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Which ML algorithms have a low bias (irrespective of variance)?

Is there a specific list of algorithms that tackle the bias problem well? This search doesn't seem to yield much on Google.
rahs
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Unfair biased coin

The professor has to go to Ireland for a bonus trip and can bring with him only one student from its class. Students cannot agree on who should get chosen. One of the student produces a coin and suggests using a coin toss to determine the lucky one.…
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In the bias-variance tradeoff, who is biased and towards what?

I understand that bias (in the context of bias-variance tradeoff) is "the expectation of the difference between the true, and estimated, parameters". However, I would like to understand who is biased and towards what. There are many articles which…
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