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I'm confused on why anyone would appeal to asymptotic normality of mle,

$$\hat{\theta} - \theta_0 \rightarrow^D N(0,I^{-1}(\theta))$$

When we can simply invert the likelihood ratio test

$$L(\hat{\theta}) - L(\theta_0) \rightarrow^D \chi^2_1$$

to obtain a $(1-\alpha)$ CI. Is there a situation where this is not a good idea?

Richard Hardy
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Casey
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1 Answers1

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The asymptotic distribution

$$\hat{\theta} - \theta_a \rightarrow^D N(0,I^{-1}(\theta))$$

can be rewritten as

$$\hat{\theta} \rightarrow^D N(\theta_a,I^{-1}(\theta))$$

and it becomes easy to compute p-values for different hypothetical values $\theta_a$ and associated confidence intervals.

This expression $\hat{\theta} - \theta_a$ is a simple translation. This is not the case for $L(\hat{\theta}) - L(\theta_a)$.


A complication is $I^{-1}(\theta)$ which is probably gonna need to be $I^{-1}(\theta_a)$ and changing the value of $\theta_a$ might be not the same as a simple translation (but also change the variance). An example is the Wilson score interval for a binomial proportion.