We are currently having an interresting discusison about a recent A/B Test we ran and i'd very much appreciate your thoughts on it:
We recently ran a A/B/C Test regarding the pricing of same day delivery:
- Control, current state:: free same day delivery
- Variation 1: 3 Dollars for same day delivery
- Variation 2: 5 Dollars for same day delivery
We measured:
- CR_Checkout: Overall Conversion Rate in the Checkout (including other delivery options) as: '# users in checkout / # transactions
- CR_SameDay: Usage Rate same day delivery as: '# transactions with same day option / # transactions
Results compared to Control:
- Variation 1:
- Change in CR_Checkout_1: Not Significant
- Change in CR_SameDay:_1 Significant decrease
- Variation 2:
- Change in CR_Checkout_2: Significant decrease
- Change in CR_Sameday_2: Significant decrease
Question: Under the given circumstances - is it statistically sound to go on and make a profit calculation to compare Variation 1 and Variation 2, using the respective conversion rates, average order value (generic for both variants) and revenue from same day delivery fee - even if we have not proven a statistically significant difference between Variation 1 and Variation 2?
Example: Variation 1: 100 Users in Checkout x CR_Checkout_1 x Average Order Value + Revenue SameDayFee = 100 Variation 2: 100 Users in Checkout x CR_Checkout_2 x Average Order Value + Revenue SameDayFee = 105 Therefore Variation 2 should be implemented.