Stepwise Regression for VAR or VECM Models

Asked Oct 26 '20 at 19:29

Active Oct 26 '20 at 20:12

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I'm doing an analysis of integrated price series for two different types of crude oil. These crudes are priced off a differential to a main type ("marker"). I built an exogenous variable matrix that includes a main marker for Brent crude and dummy variables for day of the week. When I run the VAR, the t-stats for certain day of the week dummy variables are not significant (Thu/Fri). Is there any precedent for using stepwise regression with a VAR model to remove insignificant features?

edited Oct 26 '20 at 20:12

Richard Hardy

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asked Oct 26 '20 at 19:29

Michael Westerman

2

It's generally best not to use stepwise regression at all (see: Algorithms for automatic model selection), for anything... Moreover, the tests of the individual levels of a categorical variable don't mean what people typically think they mean. If you really need to combine levels of a categorical variable for some reason, you could try: Principled way of collapsing categorical variables with many levels? – gung - Reinstate Monica Oct 26 '20 at 19:34
If you care about prediction, consider e.g. what the bigtime package in R does with VAR models. – Richard Hardy Oct 26 '20 at 20:12

Stepwise Regression for VAR or VECM Models

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