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Theory dictates that when there is one cointegration relationship, it's coefficient in a VECM must be statistically significant and negative to maintain the long-run equilibrium.

Nonetheless, when there are two cointegrating relationships (Coint 1 and 2), should both their coefficients, C(1) and C(2), be negative and statistically significant or only the first coefficient, C(1)? Thanks

a, b, c, d, e, and f are real numbers.

             Coint 1        Coint 2 
Var 1           1.00           0.00
Var 2           0.00           1.00
Var 3           a              d
Var 4           b              e
Constant        c              f

VECM:

              ∆Var1(t)
 Coint 1       C(1)
 Coint 2       C(2)
 ∆Var1(t-1)    C(3)
              ... etc
Richard Hardy
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John
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0 Answers0