I want to find hyperparameter-free method for Moving Average/ Exponential smoothing. Is there any related paper or python code?
S(t)= alpha * F(t) + (1-alpha) * S(t-1)
Any methods can avoid the choice of alpha? Or automatically update the alpha?
Thank you.
etsfrom theforecastpackage in R. It estimates $\alpha$ and even facilitates (optionally) automated selection between different versions of exponential smoothing methods. – Richard Hardy Jun 20 '19 at 09:18