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Assume, we have the following:

$Y$- outcome

$D$- exposure

$U$- unobserved confounder

$V$- instrumental variable.

Assume there are no observed confounders.

Can we check the assumption of exclusion restriction by running a regression of $Y$ on $D$ and $V$ and testing if the coefficient associated with $V$ is 0? The rational is all the effects of $V$ on $Y$ has to go through $D$ so once $D$ is controlled, there should be no effect of $V$.

Vincent
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1 Answers1

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Can we check the assumption of exclusion restriction by running a regression of Y on D and V and testing if the coefficient associated with V is 0?

No, you can't. It's easy to see why visually. Consider the DAG below, representing your set up:

enter image description here

Your proposal is to regress $Y$ on $D$ and $V$ and check if the coefficient of $V$ is zero. But look what happens if you condition $D$:

enter image description here

That is, even though you have blocked the directed path $V \rightarrow D \rightarrow Y$, you now opened the path $V \rightarrow D \leftarrow U \rightarrow Y$ (represented in red)! The treatment, in this case, acts as a collider, and conditioning on it opens the mentioned spurious path.

Thus, we should not expect the regression coefficient of $Y$ on $V$ conditional on $D$ to be zero even if $V$ is a valid instrument.