The paradox
If you think of 53 as just a large number, you might first believe the goat is at risk of being eaten.
But then you see that if a lion eats the goat, it becomes the goat among a large number of lions and will just as likely be eaten. The lions would therefore rather be the last lion to eat the goat. As a result, none will try to eat the goat first.
If that is the case, that means the goat is safe.
But if a goat is safe among many lions, it should be safe for a lion to eat the goat.
As you can see, any answer leads to the opposite answer.
The solution
You have to understand that the situation is very different between 53 and 52 lions. To understand why, you have to consider each number separately.
- With 1 goat against 1 lion, the goat gets eaten. Obviously.
- With 1 goat against 2 lions, if a lion eats the goat it becomes 1 goat against 1 lion and gets eaten. No lion wants that, so the goat survives.
- With 1 goat against 3 lions, if a lion eats the goat it becomes 1 goat against 2 lions and survives. So the goat gets eaten by the fastest lion.
- With 1 goat against 4 lions, if a lion eats the goat it becomes 1 goat against 3 lions and gets eaten. No lion wants that so the goat survives.
You can see a general pattern emerging:
- With an even number of lions, if a lion eats the goat it becomes 1 goat against an odd number of lions and gets eaten. So the goat survives.
- With an odd number of lions, if a lion eats the goat, it becomes 1 goat against en even number of lions and suvives. So the goat gets eaten.
Since we have an odd number of lions, the goat gets eaten by the fastest lion. The lion becomes a goat and from there on it survives with all 52 lions.