Questions tagged [prediction]

If we make predictions with a new theory, but cannot verify its internal mechanisms and causal processes, but find that the predictions turn out to be accurate every single time, is this enough evidence for the theory? Let's assume that the…

Suppose I predict that the lottery numbers that will be won tomorrow are a particular sequence and it comes true. Is this event less likely than it occurring without my prediction? Intuitively, it seems yes, but after thinking about it, I fail to…

Note the word “existence” in the question where I’m trying to be careful with my wording here. This can be better illustrated with an example. Take the example of the cheating process. Suppose one observes that John has won four straight lotteries,…