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A recent article in New Scientist reports the following claim made by Wenju Cai at CSIRO Melbourne.

Southern India is having a lot of rain as it goes into winter, having come out of the dry monsoon. This is only so during extreme El Niño, so it is a confirmation that the El Niño is huge

Does the claim indicate that a strong El Nino has a causal effect in extreme rainfalls in delayed monsoons? Has there been any historical evidence to backup this claim (for example the 1997-98 El Nino data)

  • Possible dupe of http://earthscience.stackexchange.com/questions/2251/relation-of-el-ni%C3%B1o-to-monsoons, but no answers there. Also, http://earthscience.stackexchange.com/questions/3174/oceanic-atmospheric-coupling-between-the-indian-ocean-and-the-pacific-ocean-basi, likewise – Jan Doggen Dec 02 '15 at 14:01
  • And maybe also related: http://earthscience.stackexchange.com/questions/6671/what-causes-these-odd-looking-currents-in-the-tasman-sea Hint: Search the site before asking – Jan Doggen Dec 02 '15 at 14:04
  • @WanderingMind - The Southern Indian floods is not a case of delayed flooding. There are two separate monsoons in India. South West and North East. So onset was off by 6 days or so. –  Dec 04 '15 at 17:23

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